There is a lot of understandable frustration with “social distancing” and “shelter-at-home” recommendations. However, we are beginning to get some scientific evidence of their effectiveness.

In a study just published in the journal Health Affairs (the journal of the American Public Health Association, May 14, 2020) this was reported: “Adoption of government-imposed social distancing measures reduced the daily growth rate by 5.4 percentage points after 1-5 days, 6.8 after 6-10 days, 8.2 after 11-15 days, and 9.1 after 16-20 days.”

They estimate that there would have been 10 times greater spread by April 27 without the shelter in place orders. Because one infected person has an average of 45 contacts without these measures, the potential for spread is astounding.

Folks, even when it relaxes, please wear your masks when in close proximity to others. It’s not to protect you – it’s to show you care about others, or love your brother as yourself, or do onto others as you would have them do onto you.

Ken Brummel-Smith

Mount Shasta