This political forecaster says the Republicans may not win control of the Senate after all

Staff Writer
Mount Shasta Herald

For months now, conventional political wisdom has been that Republicans are likely to gain control of the U.S. Senate in the November elections. But a significant expression of doubt about that consensus has arisen, and it comes from a guy with an impressive record of accurate election forecasts.

Sam Wang (above), a 47-year-old analyst for the Princeton Election Consortium, says Democratic candidates for the Senate are “doing surprisingly well,” and his latest “snapshot” puts the Dems’ chances of maintaining Senate control at 70 percent.

What makes Wang’s projections noteworthy is that his forecasts in the 2012 election cycle turned out to be as accurate as those made by the celebrated numbers-cruncher Nate Silver.

Like other reputable polling analysts, Wang uses methods that might seem more than a little arcane to us laymen, as we see HERE in his latest submission.