Trouble for GOP: America is looking more and more like California
California has long been a trend-setter of one sort or another, and that’s the case now with regard to demographics.
Writing from Los Angeles just yesterday, columnist E.J. Dionne of The Washington Post put it this way:
“The one thing no one can stop,” says Rep. Ted Lieu, a Democrat who was elected to Congress here in 2014, “is that every month, the rest of America looks more like California.”
And the demographic changes in California have been bad news for Republicans over the past several decades, especially with regard to presidential elections. GOP candidates for the White House have not carried the Golden State since 1988.
It only follows, then, that the more America generally mirrors California demographically, the greater the challenge to the Republican Party.
Dionne continues with THIS:
The principal cause of the GOP’s troubles [in California] is its alienation of Latinos, Asian Americans and African Americans in a state whose population is now majority nonwhite. Republicans can win in 2016 without carrying California, but the party’s struggles here highlight the extent to which the GOP is making its life in presidential years very difficult with its increasingly hard line on immigration, its image as a bastion for older, white conservatives and its solicitude for Americans with very high incomes.
The same thing is now happening nationally. The growing anti-immigrant sentiment in the GOP has cut the Republicans’ Latino share of the vote from around 40 percent for George W. Bush to 27 percent for Mitt Romney in 2012. The party’s strenuous opposition to President Obama’s executive actions on immigration will only make this problem more acute.
But even more remarkably, Republicans have also suffered severe declines among Asian Americans. According to the exit polls, a majority of Asian Americans voted for George H.W. Bush in 1988. But in 2012, Romney won only 26 percent of their ballots.