2022 Tampa Bay Buccaneers' win total, Super Bowl, conference and division odds
The retirement of Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Tom Brady lasted 40 days before he agreed to take one more ride in the NFL to continue to cement his G.O.A.T. legacy and the oddsmakers agree - the Bucs are the betting line favorite to represent the NFC in next February's Super Bowl.
Below, we look at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2022 NFL futures odds - including win total, division, conference and Super Bowl odds at Tipico Sportsbook - with best bet suggestions among our NFL picks and predictions.
It's rare when NFL rosters stay as intact as Tampa Bay's, but this offseason the Buccaneers re-signed 17 of its own potential free agents, not including Brady, Rob Gronkowski and Ndamukong Suh, both still unsigned. The Bucs didn't go without losses, including G Alex Cappa, RB Ronald Jones, TE O.J. Howard and safety Jordan Whitehead. But the team added G Shaq Mason, WR Russell Gage and S Keanu Neal in free agency.
Tampa Bay didn't have a first-round pick in the draft, but addressed both lines with DE Logan Hall and OT Luke Goedeke in the second round and replacing loss positions with RB Rachaad White in the third round and TE Cade Otton in the fourth, filling holes as they always seem to do.
2022 Tampa Bay Buccaneers' schedule
|All times ET; *- At Munich|
at Dallas Cowboys
at New Orleans Saints
vs. Green Bay Packers
vs. Kansas City Chiefs
vs. Atlanta Falcons
at Pittsburgh Steelers
at Carolina Panthers
Oct. 27 (Th)
vs. Baltimore Ravens
vs. Los Angeles Rams
vs. Seattle Seahawks-*
at Cleveland Browns
Dec. 5 (M)
vs. New Orleans Saints
at San Francisco 49ers
vs. Cincinnati Bengals
at Arizona Cardinals
vs. Carolina Panthers
Jan. 7 or 8
at Atlanta Falcons
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2022 Tampa Bay Buccaneers' win total: Best bet
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday, May 15 at 10:37 a.m. ET.
Over/Under: 11.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
When I first saw this number, my initial thought was that it seemed a game too high. But, as most should do when trying to pick an Over/Under number, look at the schedule and, all things being equal, try to pick the number of games when the team you're examining would expect to be an underdog.
The most I could come up with for Tampa was potentially 2 road games, at Dallas and at San Francisco. They have tough opponents on the schedule, but the rest are all at home, including the Packers, Chiefs, Rams and Bengals.
When you combine having their toughest opponents at home and a minimal expectation of going 5-1 against division opponents, it comes into clearer focus that 12-5 isn't just possible, it's probable. If the Bucs go 6-0 against the NFC South, they only have to go 6-5 in their other games to hit what is the highest numbers for wins on the board.
TAKE THE OVER AT 11.5 WINS (-110)
2022 Tampa Bay Buccaneers' Super Bowl odds
Odds: +700 (bet $100 to win $700)
This is one of the few bets involving the Buccaneers where the return is decent. I was well ahead of the curve of learning not to bet against Brady. I've made more money betting on Brady teams over the years than probably any other player because you pick against the best to ever play at your own peril.
The oddsmakers aren't doing you any favors - the defending champion Rams are at +1000, but as Brady's storybook career transitions from the field to the TV booth, when a playoff game starts with Brady in it, you will be hard pressed to bet against him, regardless of the location.
TAKE THE BUCCANEERS TO WIN THE SUPER BOWL (+700).
2022 Tampa Bay Buccaneers' playoff odds
Will Buccaneers make the playoffs: Yes -649 | No +425
Nobody should spend $649 in the summer to win $100 in January. It's a sucker bet that will only make money on the other side with those praying Brady goes down in Week 1. Even then, I'm not convinced that any of the other teams in the division will finish with a winning record, so 9 wins may be all that is needed. PASS.
Odds to win NFC South Division
- Atlanta Falcons +1500 (bet $100 to win $1,500)
- Carolina Panthers +1000 (bet $100 to win $100)
- New Orleans Saints +400 (bet $100 to win $400)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers -310 (bet $310 to win $100)
This is similar to whether or not Tampa Bay will make the playoffs. It's a simple "yes or no" question and you need to invest too much for the return on the other side of it. To make this bet work, you need to invest something like $3,100 to win $1,000 and there are so many better bets that a player can make that don't require such a steep investment. PASS.
Odds to win NFC
Odds: +320 (bet $100 to win $320)
This one may come off as being odd, because I endorse the +700 to win the Super Bowl. However, the payback on this bet is considerably low. Using the doubling method of winning one more game, this should be at +350 and I see 4 other teams with a legitimate chance of winning the NFC - Los Angeles, Green Bay, Dallas and San Francisco. If the Bucs were at +350, I would consider it, but there are too many variables to fully endorse getting a 3.2 times return. If you think they're going to win the NFC why not go all in on one more victory at a higher rate of return. PASS.
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